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☆ S&P 500 forming a troubling 'bear flag' pattern, Wolfe Research says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Technical analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a note to clients late Tuesday that the recent bounces for the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq-100 look suspiciously like "bear flags," an ominous chart pattern. "Equities ended the month on a sour note, as last week's dead cat bounces stalled out beneath resistance. A "bear flag" is a technical pattern that sometimes develops during short-term bounces in a broader market decline. Last week, the S & P 500 rose 2.7%, its best weekly performance since November. Ginsberg said in the note that he sees potential downside to the 4,800 level on the S & P 500, which would equal a further decline of about 4.5%.

Persons: Rob Ginsberg, doesn't, Ginsberg Organizations: Wolfe Research, Nasdaq

☆ A 27-year-old investor building a $2 million retirement portfolio in 8 years shares the index fund he's buying that pays a 14% annual yield in a tax-efficient way
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-20 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

His brokerage account mainly holds dividend and technology stocks and an S&P 500 index fund. AdvertisementHe also began buying the NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF (SPYI), which launched in August 2022. It also beat out similar funds, such as the JP Morgan Equity Premium Income ETF and the Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF, throughout 2023. Portfolio VisualizerFor this reason, he decided to bet on an ETF similar to SPYI that went live in January 2024: the NEOS Nasdaq-100 High Income ETF (QQQI). It's also subject to the 60/40 tax rate, which means that only 40% of the fund's gains are subject to the higher short-term capital gains tax rate.

Persons: —, Austin Hankwitz, Roth, Ethereum, Hankwitz, it's, It's, Austin Organizations: Service, Business, Morgan, Nasdaq, SPYI, JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity

☆ Here are Monday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Apple, Mattel, Amazon, Tesla, Charter, Cigna, Tapestry & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs reiterates Nvidia as buy Goldman raised its price target on the stock to $800 per share from $625. "So, since our price target is > $135, we must necessarily believe that Tesla's OTHER businesses will emerge to drive upside. JPMorgan downgrades Mattel to neutral from overweight JPMorgan said in its downgrade of Mattel that the Barbie boost was short-lived for the toy company. JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as overweight JPMorgan said it's standing by top idea Amazon. " JPMorgan reiterates PayPal as overweight JPMorgan said it's standing by PayPal heading into earnings later this week.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, it's, Piper Sandler, Tesla, Piper, Riley downgrades, Redburn, TD Cowen, Smith Douglas, it's bullish, JPMorgan downgrades, Barbie, Evercore, …, Moffett, Guggenheim, Davidson downgrades Clorox, cyberattack Organizations: Nvidia, Bank of America, Apple, Apple's, Vision, Tesla Energy, Cedar Fair, SIX, Citi, JPMorgan downgrades, JPMorgan, Broadband, Companies, Smith, Smith Douglas Homes, JPMorgan downgrades Mattel, Mattel, Guggenheim, Inc, DA, PayPal Locations: United States

☆ The stock market rally is showing signs of exhaustion, according to multiple chart analysts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Several chart analysts are worried stocks are showing signs of exhaustion after their recent rally. Even there, however, we started to see some cracks last week as upside exhaustion also showed itself," Krinsky added. JC O'Hara, chief market technician at Roth MKM, wrote: "This persistence of gains is rare, and we are seeing signs that leadership is feeling exhaustion." However, when we view the chart, we find early signs of bullish exhaustion," O'Hara wrote. "From a trading basis, lethargic internal behavior suggests the bull cycle is due for a breather," Wald wrote on Saturday.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, O'Hara, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, SMH, that's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Russell, Wald Organizations: Reserve, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Bears, Wolfe Research, VanEck Semiconductor

☆ Forget the 'Magnificent 7,' these Nasdaq stocks are next in line to lead rally, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

We know all about the Nasdaq-100 index and the 'Magnificent 7' hype lately, but what about the stocks next in line? Well, the Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF (QQQJ) tracks the next biggest 100 Nasdaq stocks after the Nasdaq 100 – roughly Nasdaq stocks Nos. This isn't a surprise given that tech is the biggest sector in the Nasdaq Composite itself. Most importantly, the top 10 NDX stocks represent nearly 46% of the entire index. In fact, a similar scenario occurred in 2022 that eventually led to QQQJ outperforming NDX later in the year.

Persons: QQQJ, QQQJ outperforming NDX, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Nasdaq, NASDAQ Locations: QQQJ, Technology

☆ It's been 2 years since the Nasdaq hit a record and it's gone nowhere since
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The loudest investor chatter for months has insisted the heavyweights of the Nasdaq have been everything to the market in 2023. Sunday is the second anniversary of the all-time closing high in both the Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 indexes, which remain 12% and 4 % underwater even after their monster gains in recent months. It's relatively rare for the Nasdaq 100 – the most easily investable part of the Nasdaq and the one most reflective of the mega-cap dominance – to enter a two-year downturn. Only three of the Big Seven have outperformed the Nasdaq 100 over the past two years – Apple, Nvidia and Microsoft — while Meta Platforms has kept pace and Amazon, Alphabet and Tesla have lagged. Friday showed signs of outright rotation, the Russell 2000 up 1.3% versus a flat Nasdaq 100.

Persons: Invesco, Scott Chronert, we've, I've, –, Chronert, Apple's, What's, Berkshire Hathaway, Tony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs, Russell, disinflation Organizations: Nasdaq, Sunday, QQQ, Citi, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Berkshire, Fed Locations: lockstep, Berkshire, Whereto

☆ A massive market divergence could signal trouble ahead for stocks, BTIG says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A pullback for stocks could be on the horizon after a unique technical signal was flashed, BTIG said. The Russell 2000 ended last week down 3.2%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 2.9%. BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky pointed out there have been just seven other occasions since 1985 that such a divergence has been seen. Eight weeks following this signal flashing, the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 have lost 4.1% and 6.7%, respectively, on a median basis. To be sure, it was last seen on May 2 — and the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 were up 13.9% and 8.6%, respectively, eight weeks after.

Persons: BTIG, Russell, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, —, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, American Association of, Bears, Wall

☆ Stock market looks to escape macroeconomic fears as it mounts a November comeback
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-11 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Progress, for sure, with something more to prove. And of course, the S & P had only just broken an eight-session win streak before then. There's no doubt the spread between, say, the Nasdaq 100 and the equal-weight S & P 500 is extreme this year, at some 42 percentage points. The S & P 500 High Beta Index, tracked by the SPHB ETF , now trades under 15-times forward earnings, down from 20-times in February and a current 18 for the S & P 500. Earnings growth — even if slow and unevenly bestowed across sectors — tends to limit equity downside at minimum.

Persons: that's, Disinflation Organizations: Federal, stoke, Treasury, Fed, NYSE, Trader's, Nasdaq, Beta Locations: Friday's

☆ Morning Bid: Market bounce sets up Fed-dominated week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. A worrying late-year stock market unwind is starkest in small-cap indexes (.RUT) now tracking year-to-date losses of some 7% - even as the benchmark S&P500 (.SPX) remains up 7% and Big Tech leaders of the Nasdaq 100 are still 30% (.NDX) higher. Annual earnings growth for S&P500 companies is now expected to have picked up to a 4.3% annual growth rate, according to LSEG estimates, from as low as 1.6% before the reporting season began. But beyond Fed policy rates, it's the restive bond market and near 16-year-high long-term borrowing costs that are starting to hurt most. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields held steady at 4.85% - well below the 5% threshold they breached last week.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, keener, Russell, China Evergrande, Simon Property, Louis, Nick Macfie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Tech, Federal Reserve, Detroit's Big, Apple, HSBC HSBA.L, Swiss, Swiss National Bank, Bank of Japan, China, HK, Dallas Fed, Western Digital, FMC, Arista Networks, Arch, Semiconductor, Treasury, Reuters, Louis Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Gaza, London, Europe, Hong Kong, Loews, St

☆ Morning Bid: To 5% and beyond, bond yields soar
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The company earnings picture, meantime, was mixed to sour over the past 24 hours in both the U.S. and Europe. Despite decent demand at a typically awkward 20-year bond auction on Wednesday, yields continued to spiral higher overnight and ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's key speech later on Thursday. The upshot of all factors has seen Treasury yields climb ever higher through the night - with two-year and 20-year yields , now both above 5.25%, the latter at a record high and the former the highest since 2006. Ten and five-year tenors also saw yields soar to within a hair's breadth of 5% early on Thursday too. The ructions in the bond market and incoming earnings saw Wall St indexes (.SPX), (.NDX) hit their lowest in 10 days on Wednesday and futures were in the red again ahead of the open today.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Republican Jim Jordan, Blackstone, Philip Morris, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Lorie Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, Patrick Harker, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S, Netflix, Republican, Bank of Japan, Mortgage Bankers Association, HK, Fifth Third Bancorp, Philip Morris , Union Pacific, CSX, Truist Financial, American Airlines, Alaska Air, Philadelphia Fed, U.S . Federal, Dallas, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Housing, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Washington, Venezuela, Europe, Frankfurt, Freeport, McMoRan, China

☆ Morning Bid: 'Remarkable' US markets surf crosscurrents
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Stock futures are higher once again ahead of the bell today. As cash Treasury markets returned from Monday's Columbus Day holiday to a week of heavy long-term debt auctions, they were also greeted with rekindled optimism about the Federal Reserve's policy rate trajectory. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields are set to kick off Tuesday's U.S. trading day at some 4.65% - almost a quarter of a percentage point below the peak set just after Friday's blowout September jobs report. Elsewhere, PepsiCo (PEP.O) edged 0.8% higher ahead of the beverage maker's third-quarter results and Unity (U.N) jumped 6.4% after the video-game software maker said its CEO John Riccitiello would retire.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Lorie Logan, Logan, Philip Jefferson chimed, John Riccitiello, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Ed Osmond Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Columbus, Federal, Dallas Fed, Treasury, Monetary Fund, IMF, World Bank, Fund, HK, Bloomberg, Alibaba, Baidu, PepsiCo, Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Atlanta Fed, PepsiCo NFIB Consumer, Reuters Messaging, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Marrakesh, China, Beijing, Minneapolis, San

☆ Government bonds are in a rout worldwide. Here's why you should care
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

When official interest rates rise, so do investors’ expectations for returns on bonds, known as yields. In the United Kingdom, the yield on 30-year bonds also reached 5% this week, the highest level in more than two decades. Yields on Italy’s 10-year bonds hit 5% on Wednesday, the highest level since 2012, when that crisis was in full swing. Mortgage rates riseThe yields on local government bonds are usually used by banks to price mortgages. High official interest rates in America and Europe have also raised the cost of borrowing for businesses.

Persons: Saul Loeb, Liz Truss, —, Matt Cardy, Freddie Mac, Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley, Stocks, ” Russ Mould, AJ Bell, we’ve, ”, “, That’s, ” Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown Organizations: London CNN, US Treasury Department, Getty, UK, CNN, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, BlackRock, Hargreaves Locations: Washington ,, United Kingdom, Bath, England, United States, Europe, America

The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. Seven megacap stocks -- Apple (AAPL.O), Microsoft (MSFT.O), Alphabet (GOOGL.O), Amazon (AMZN.O), Nvidia (NVDA.O), Tesla (TSLA.O) and Meta Platforms (META.O) -- have led broader markets higher this year. Their rising stock prices ballooned valuations, however, and some investors say the megacaps could be vulnerable if climbing bond yields keep pressuring stocks. "When the big tech stocks start going down ... the indexes go down," said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. Still, strategists point out that the rise in implied volatility for tech stocks is no more than for the broader market.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, megacaps, LSEG, Matt Maley, Miller, ”, Matt Stucky, Chris Murphy, Rick Meckler, J, Bryant Evans, ” Evans, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Federal Reserve, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Nasdaq, Susquehanna Financial Group, Amazon, Cherry Lane Investments, Cozad Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, New Jersey

☆ Extreme fear is haunting stock markets again. Here's why investors are running scared
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 index (SPX) has risen 11% since the start of the year, the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NDX) 33%, and the Stoxx Europe 600 (STOXX) 5%. The Stoxx Europe 600 has fallen 3.3%. ‘Higher for longer’ interest ratesThe world’s major central banks have spent the past two years hiking borrowing costs in a bid to control runaway inflation. High interest rates typically put pressure on stocks, since investors tend to favor bonds when they offer comparable returns as they are safer. An ailing ChinaA slew of disappointing economic data out of China has also put pressure on stocks.

Persons: Michael Hewson, —, Cushing, Strategic Petroleum Reserve —, Goldman Sachs, Giovanni Staunovo, Brent, stoking Organizations: London CNN —, CMC, CNN, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Brent, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, UBS, country’s National Bureau of Statistics, Evergrande Group Locations: United States, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Cushing , Oklahoma, Ukraine, Saudi, China, Hong Kong

☆ Arm’s shares seen as a shoo-in for Nasdaq 100, though S&P 500 unlikely
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Suzanne Mcgee And Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Newly publicly traded company Arm Holdings is poised to be added to popular indexes such as the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, although inclusion in the S&P 500 is unlikely, analysts said. Shares of the British chip designer closed up 24.7% in their Nasdaq debut on Thursday, giving it a market value of $65 billion. “The Nasdaq 100 is the most likely widely followed index for the company to get added into,” said Todd Rosenbluth, Head of Research at VettaFi. However, inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 may take time for Arm shares. Inclusion of Arm shares in the S&P 500, which is the standard benchmark for the U.S. stock market, is far less certain, analysts said.

Persons: Rene Haas, Brendan McDermid, ”, Todd Rosenbluth, Russell, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Jeffrey DeMaso, Dow Jones, Lois Gregson, Suzanne McGee, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Fund, Nvidia, Research, Lucid, ARM, Vanguard Investment, VanEck Semiconductor, Software, FactSet, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, British, VettaFi

☆ Nasdaq just posted its worst month since December. How the smart money played it
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The tech-dominated Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq-100 indexes notched their worst month of the year in August, and their weakest performance since December 2022. Last month's pullback came as no shock to many veteran technology investors. Big August losers included popular AI-connected names Marvell Technology and Advanced Micro Devices , which shed more than 10% and 7%, respectively. Building small positions Amid the August pullback, Meeks built positions in some favored AI names. MRVL 1M mountain Marvell Technology shares pull back Munster used August's volatility to scoop up some shares of Etsy .

Persons: Paul Meeks, who's, we've, Meeks, Fortinet, Gene Munster, he's, Greg Bassuk, Bassuk Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Marvell Technology, Devices, Meta, Apple, Marvell, Broadcom, Taiwan Semiconductor, Cadence Design Systems, Munster, AXS Locations: Etsy

☆ Funds punished for owning too few Nvidia shares after stunning 230% rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Yet many funds hold less of the stock in their portfolios compared with Nvidia's weight in key equity indexes, making it tougher for them to beat their benchmarks. Among those funds that held a below-average weight in Nvidia, 85% underperformed the index so far this year, Morningstar's data showed. Nvidia's valuation has been a primary reason keeping some investors away, while others are wary of buying in after the stock’s mammoth 230% run this year. Nvidia shares marked a record high closing price on Tuesday, in the wake of a strong earnings report last week. "The stock has had an amazing rally, but it would be totally normal for it to correct 20-25%."

Persons: Robert Galbraith, Refinitiv, ”, Chuck Carlson, Dow, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Robby Greengold, Jeremy Schwartz, Schwartz, Michael Purves, Purves, ” Purves, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Nvidia, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Horizon Investment Services, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Big, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Apple, U.S, Mutual, Morningstar, Tallbacken Capital Advisors, Thomson Locations: Santa Clara , California, Big Tech, New York

☆ Morning Bid: Cooler labor warms markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. Stubborn inflation readings from Europe on Wednesday and hesitation around this week's China market rebound suggested the coast was far from clear despite worldwide stock and bond market rally in the previous session. Ebbing consumer confidence in August reinforced the message of slowing activity, however, and The Conference Board's so-called labor market differential, derived from respondents' views on whether jobs are plentiful or hard to get, narrowed by almost six points to 26.2% - its lowest since April 2021. China's stock markets also stalled after a two-day rally, with U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo claiming on her three-day visit to the country that many U.S. firms now see China as "un-investable". But it seemed to draw a line under the stock market this week with a series of supports and the prospect of further cuts in lending, deposit and mortgage rates.

Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan, St's, bitcoin, Gina Raimondo, Denmark's, Kristalina Georgieva, James, Brown, Forman, Louise Heavens Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Labor, Nasdaq, Securities, Exchange, U.S . Commerce, International Monetary Fund, Treasury, Cooper Companies Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Europe, China, Monday's U.S, Spain, Beijing, payrolls, Shanghai, CrowdStrike

A record 38 QDII funds had been launched this year until August 17, outpacing the 31 funds launched in 2022, Morningstar data shows. Tianhong, which is planning new QDII products, obtained a $120 million fresh QDII quota in July, less than it had hoped for. Rather than foreign capital selling China equities, this time it's Chinese investors’ outbound investment,” Liu said. HUGE DEMANDThe QDII program, launched in 2006, remains a key outbound investment channel for mainland Chinese investors, alongside the Qualified Domestic Limited Partnership (QDLP) programme. Tracy Liu, an individual investor working in the information technology industry, invested in an India-focused QDII fund in March.

Persons: Aly, Ivan Shi, Liu Dong, Becky Liu, Liu, ” Liu, Desiree Wang, Tracy Liu, Summer Zhen, Samuel Shen, Jason Xue, Vidya Ranganathan Organizations: REUTERS, Morningstar, Domestic Institutional, Nasdaq, Ben Advisors, Connect, Bond, U.S, Dow Jones, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Tianhong, Management, Ant Financial, Standard Chartered Bank, Reuters, Qualified Domestic Limited, Asset Management Association of China, Guangfa NASDAQ, Technology, Morgan Asset Management, Morgan Asset Management China, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, U.S, HONG KONG, SHANGHAI, Hong Kong, Vietnam, India, outflows, Japan, Russia

☆ Stocks sink, dollar climbs as risk of hawkish Powell looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Crude oil found its footing around one-month lows, but remained on course for a second weekly decline amid a firmer dollar and simmering China-centered worries about global growth. "However, there is also no real reason for Powell to strike a dovish tone," he added, "and that could mean an ugly end to the week for stocks, while the dollar shines." Against Japan's currency , the dollar edged back toward last week's nine-month high of 146.545, last trading at 146.15. The Chinese yuan traded slightly weaker in offshore markets , slipping 0.07% to 7.2866 per dollar.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Kazuo Ueda, Christine Lagarde, Powell, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Patrick Harker, Brent, Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Federal, People's Bank of, Bank, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Nvidia, Advantest, Philadelphia Fed, CNBC, U.S, Treasury, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, . U.S, China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Tokyo

☆ Here's why trillions of dollars in money market funds may not restart the stock market rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The 2023 stock market rally caught many investors off guard, with mountains of excess cash sitting in money market funds. "Money market balances are building up, which is unusual given how much the stock market has rallied recently. And history suggests that money market funds are not always fuel for a buy-the-dip trend to support a late-stage rally. Through that lens, the growth of money market funds in 2023 can also be linked to the regional bank crisis earlier this year. Clissold said discussions with wealth advisory clients suggest that "some of that money market fund money does leak into the stock market," albeit over time.

Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Callie Cox, Cox, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, John Tobin, Dreyfus, I'm, corporates, Tobin Organizations: Bank of America, EPFR, Investment Company Institute, Nasdaq, Barclays, Money, Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, BNY Mellon Investment Management, CIO Locations: U.S

☆ Morning Bid: World markets bounce at last
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. The onshore yuan steadied amid supportive action by China's state banks in the swaps market, and Chinese stocks (.CSI300) perked up from the year's lows. Overall, MSCI's all-country index (.MIWD00000PUS) was on course on Tuesday for its first back-to-back daily gains of August so far. There were background concerns about the impact on U.S. banks of this latest hit to bond prices and borrowing rates. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Xi Jinping, MSCI's, Jackson, Jerome Powell's, Moody's, Thomas Barkin, Austan Goolsbee, Michelle Bowman, Cyril Ramaphosa, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, P, Activision, Ubisoft Entertainment, Microsoft, Richmond Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Richmond Federal, Chicago Fed, China's, Reuters Graphics, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Wyoming, Jackson, China, South Africa, Asia, Johannesburg, Pretoria

☆ Zero-day-options, weak technicals and China: Breaking down the market’s August headwinds
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"The S & P is not quite there, but we would be very surprised if it doesn't follow the NDX's lead." On top of that, some are worried that another real estate crisis in China may be brewing. "It's been almost two years since China Evergrande Group, once China's largest real estate developer, shocked the financial markets by defaulting on $340 billion in debt. Since then, the Chinese real estate market has been in a serious slump," wrote Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research. Investment in real estate fell 8.5% y/y during the first seven months of this year."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Scott Rubner, Rubner, 0DTE, Technicals, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, It's, Ed Yardeni, we're, Sarat Sethi, Johnson, Sethi, CNBC's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Nasdaq, China Evergrande Group, Yardeni, Investment, U.S, JPMorgan Locations: China, U.S, Freeport, McMoRan, Haleon

LONDON, Aug 2 (Reuters) - The economic picture may not have to change much for the surprise element to disappear for markets - underlining the significance of this summer's sometimes grudging admissions of investment strategy missteps. SURPRISE, SURPRISEExceptional U.S. economic surprisesU.S. surprise gaps the widest in decades, excluding pandemicAlong with market moves themselves and skewed positioning monitors, the simplest take on the unpreparedness of investors can be seen in economic surprise indices. The global surprise index is close to zero, suggesting expectations for the world economy in aggregate are actually coming in on cue. And if that happens, it may just suck the oxygen from the stellar equity outperformance over bonds to date. If true, markets may find the going harder without that element of surprise.

Persons: What's, Schroders, Johanna Kyrklund, hasn't, Kyrklund, Chris Iggo, Mike Dolan Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, U.S, Graphics, AXA IM Investment, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Europe, Japan, China, U.S

☆ Morning Bid: Tech splits, banks merge and Fed decides
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Unlucky for some perhaps, but a 13th today would make it the longest winning streak for the Dow since 1987. Meta Platforms (META.O) is up next after Wednesday's closing bell and its share rose 2%. Wells Fargo (WFC.N), meantime, climbed 2.8% after the bank's board authorized a new $30 billion share buyback program. The Fed decision comes in the wake of another set of forecast-beating U.S. consumer confidence readings for July. Elsewhere, the European earnings season was in full swing too, with banks dominating the diary and the European Central Bank meeting tomorrow.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Dow Jones, Wells Fargo, Kazuo Ueda, Jerome Powell, Molina, Rollins, Edwards, John Stonestreet Organizations: Microsoft, Dow, Netflix, Google, Federal Trade Commission, European Central Bank, Deutsche Bank, Bank of Japan, HK, . Federal, eBay, Boeing, General Dynamics, Seagate, Union Pacific, CME, Hilton Worldwide, Lam Research, Water Works, United Rentals, Otis, Treasury, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wall, Nasdaq, California, Lam, Everest

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